TLDR
- XRP investors are closely watching for a possible court decision on the Ripple case expected on June 16.
- A recent post by XRP Governor suggested the token could rise above $5 if the court approves the latest motion.
- Legal expert Bill Morgan advised XRP holders to lower their expectations and not assume a favourable ruling is guaranteed.
- Morgan pointed out that the judge had rejected a similar joint motion within a week.
- The current motion seeks to finalize Ripple’s penalties and lift the ban on XRP sales to institutional investors.
Investor expectations for XRP are rising as a new court decision in the Ripple vs. SEC case is expected soon. The anticipated date is Monday, June 16, and market watchers believe the ruling could influence XRP’s price. However, legal experts warn that these assumptions may be premature and possibly unrealistic.
Legal Expert Cautions XRP Price Expectations
XRP Governor recently shared a post on X stating that a decision is likely on June 16. The post claims XRP could surge beyond $5 if the court approves the pending motion. This has stirred excitement among community members and prompted bullish forecasts across social platforms.
💥 BREAKING:
A decision in the Ripple vs. SEC case is expected on Monday.If approved, #XRP could rise above $5 quickly. pic.twitter.com/8UGdaTpmFu
— XRP Governor (@xrpgovernor) June 14, 2025
But legal observers urge caution as the market waits for the ruling. Attorney Bill Morgan highlighted that quick decisions may not always favor Ripple’s position. He pointed out that the court previously rejected a similar joint motion within just one week.
Perhaps you should not hope for that.
It only took 7 days for Judge Torres to reject the last joint motion to modify the judgment to reduce the fine and dissolve the injunction. Less than 7 days to decide the current joint motion may not be the best sign she will grant it. https://t.co/9yFksn6Jrq
— bill morgan (@Belisarius2020) June 15, 2025
The earlier joint motion sought to reduce Ripple’s fine and dissolve the injunction restricting certain XRP sales. Despite being filed by both parties, Judge Analisa Torres rejected it in only seven days. This short timeline suggests the court may not be open to modifying its original decision.
Morgan believes that the current motion could meet the same fate. He cautioned that XRP holders should manage their expectations based on legal patterns. Rapid court responses often indicate a reaffirmation of prior judgments rather than support for change.
The motion now under review seeks to conclude the penalty phase and possibly lift the institutional sales ban. If approved, it would allow Ripple to resume certain XRP transactions in the U.S. Yet this legal outcome may not directly translate to a sustained price increase.
Ripple vs. SEC Decision Won’t Ensure Rally
XRP’s price action is influenced by more than just legal news. Broader market conditions, investor sentiment, and regulatory developments also play important roles. Even a favorable ruling may not push XRP above $5 as some speculate.
Moreover, legal clarity does not eliminate market volatility. Crypto prices often react unpredictably to regulatory outcomes, regardless of the expected impact. Traders should remain aware that speculation alone does not drive long-term gains.
The Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit has continued since December 2020, with several pivotal rulings along the way. In 2023, Judge Torres ruled that XRP exchange sales did not violate securities laws, but institutional sales did. This ongoing legal complexity means outcomes are rarely straightforward or immediately profitable.
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